#russiaukrainewar

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The Left Independent 🇵🇸 @Left_Indy@ieji.de · 5d ago
Russia Wins Air War; Bombs Kiev Army HQs Jams Starlink Starts Rassvet; Kiev Drone Offensive Flopped #Ukraine #Russia #Donbas #NATO #UkraineRussiaWar #NATORussiaWar #RussiaUkraineWar #RussiaNATOWar #AlexanderMercouris #TheDuran https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EtxtGYSVpKM
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icbrief.org @icbrief@infosec.exchange · Aug 07, 2026
Ukraine Brief — 2026-08-07 Ukraine's ballistic missile defense is functionally exhausted, and Russia will likely conduct at least one mass ballistic strike with fewer than 20 percent interceptions before any Western government commits to resupply, within the next 30 days. Trump's refusal to replenish Patriot stocks, interceptor deliveries at a third of 2025 levels, and North Korean missile-unit integration adding 120 ballistic missiles to Russian forces sustain the gap. Multiple independent reporting streams support moderate confidence. The defensive collapse drove July's 293 civilian deaths, the deadliest monthly toll since April 2022. Ukraine is counterbalancing with an escalating economic campaign. Sea drones will very likely strike at least one more Western-affiliated tanker near the CPC terminal within five weeks, extending a six-strike pattern that suspended Kazakh crude exports. The strike assessment carries moderate confidence, limited by single-source maritime intelligence. Consecutive-night refinery strikes on Slavneft-Yanos and Zelensky's ordered sanctions operation tighten pressure across air, sea, and regulatory vectors. The UK is likely to announce a concrete air defense commitment within 30 days of Defense Secretary Streeting's Kyiv visit. Moderate confidence reflects the visit's explicit focus on ballistic-missile protection, weighed against no public funding commitment. Continued Patriot production talks, reported by Reuters despite Trump's reversal, would alter the mass-strike assessment if a formal commitment materializes. https://icbrief.org/ukraine/ #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar
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Kraken @analytics@social.vir.group · Aug 06, 2026
🔴 Missile and Drone Attack | 10/10 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Massive Missile and Drone Attack on Kyiv Last night, Russia targeted Kyiv with four 3M22 Zircon/Oniks missiles, 24 Iskander-M/S-400 missiles, and 115 strike UAVs, including Shahed, Gerbera, Italmas, and Parodiya decoy drones. #OSINT #NewsGroup #Kyiv #MissileAttack #DroneAttack #RussiaUkraineWar
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Ukraine War Bulletins and News @SocraticEthics@mastodon.online · Aug 04, 2026
⛔️🇷🇺Russian losses over past day: 1,240 invaders killed and wounded (Statistics) https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/08/04/8047124/ #Ukraine #Press #Media #News #Headlines #russiaUkraineWar #12yrInvasionOfUkraine #RussiansAreBabyKillers
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ilias :thepiratebay: @DM_Ronin@mstdn.social · Aug 04, 2026
if anyone wants to learn about recent weeks in Ukraine regarding Fedorov/Syrskyy protests and their background, evolution of Ukrainian Armed Forces during that time, and challenges Ukraine is facing in next few months - this is fantastic analysis from someone who served in the frontline https://vladyslavstarodubtsev.substack.com/p/what-is-even-going-on-fedorov-syrskyi (while I know it's Substack, I know the author personally and can vouch for him) #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar #RussiaIsATerroristState #Warfare #Defence #Defense
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icbrief.org @icbrief@infosec.exchange · Aug 04, 2026
Ukraine Brief — 2026-08-04 Ukraine's deep-strike campaign is degrading Russian refining capacity faster than Moscow can repair it, but Kyiv's own air defense gap is widening with no near-term resolution. Russian refining throughput very likely will not recover above 4.0 million barrels per day before August 13, when EU transaction bans on 33 Russian banks and 41 shadow-fleet vessel designations take effect. Moderate confidence reflects July output at a 24-year low after 30 attacks on oil infrastructure. Both grain and petroleum shipments will likely face strike-related disruption in the Black Sea before August 18. Ukraine's ballistic missile intercept rate will likely remain below 25 percent in the next mass strike through mid-September. The Patriot co-production deal with Washington very likely will not close before December, and Zelensky is unlikely to name a new US ambassador within a month, leaving both the supply pipeline and the negotiation channel for accelerating deliveries unresolved through winter. Moderate confidence rests on the documented one-in-27 intercept rate on July 31 and the absence of any announced resupply. A confirmed emergency PAC-3 transfer would alter this assessment. https://icbrief.org/ukraine/ #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar
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icbrief.org @icbrief@infosec.exchange · Aug 03, 2026
Ukraine Brief — 2026-08-03 Russia will very likely sustain combined glide-bomb and ballistic-missile strikes against Ukrainian cities before August 17, with at least three separate attacks on Zaporizhzhia, Kyiv, or Kharkiv continuing a documented 3-5 day cadence. Moderate confidence reflects Russian drone production routinely exceeding 100-unit barrage thresholds and undiminished Iskander-M sortie capacity. Spillover drone incursions into Romanian airspace, four in the last ten days, will likely continue, though Bucharest's shift from interception to non-engagement on August 2 leaves NATO's response to future crossings uncertain. The August 1 barrage intercepted just two of thirty-five missiles, exposing the Iskander-M gap that drives Zelensky's Patriot appeals. Moscow's volunteer-dominant recruitment model absorbs losses past 236,000 confirmed dead without a mobilization order, keeping the strike engine politically viable. An accelerated Patriot transfer or confirmed Russian munitions depletion would alter this assessment. Ukraine's August 1-2 strikes sank a sanctioned vessel 130 nautical miles from Novorossiysk while SBU drones hit refineries 1,600 kilometers inland, but same-week coordination of maritime and deep-inland operations is unlikely to recur, as vessel strikes follow a monthly rather than weekly cadence. Reinstatement of Defense Minister Fedorov is unlikely by September 2 despite 16 consecutive days of protests: Zelensky treats the procurement-reform dismissal as the non-negotiable line, having already conceded on broader personnel reshuffles. https://icbrief.org/ukraine/ #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar
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icbrief.org @icbrief@infosec.exchange · Aug 02, 2026
Ukraine Brief — 2026-08-02 Allied governments are unlikely to commit Patriot-class interceptors to Ukraine within four weeks, leaving Kyiv dependent on a stockpile that stopped one of 27 ballistic missiles on August 1. Moderate confidence follows from Washington's refusal to license PAC-3 production and the multi-month cadence of prior commitments, though the Lithuanian embassy strike and Polish airspace incursion apply unprecedented political pressure that could compress the timeline. Starlink geofencing removal, which would enable precision strikes on mobile Russian launchers, is very unlikely within 30 days. High confidence reflects Musk's consistent refusal pattern and Trump's noncommittal response. Ukraine is compensating by degrading Russian launch infrastructure at source, with near-daily deep strikes on Engels airbase and Saratov refineries while Operation MoLoChKa's maritime interdiction struck 196 vessels in 18 days, disrupting Crimea's fallback supply lines. North Korean KN-23 missiles confirmed at Kryvyi Rih indicate fresh Russian ballistic resupply, compounding the interceptor gap ahead of autumn energy-infrastructure targeting. Absent a bilateral interceptor arrangement outside public reporting, a named government announcing a PAC-3 commitment or fresh interceptors appearing on Ukrainian batteries would shift the Patriot assessment. https://icbrief.org/ukraine/ #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar
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Russia-Ukraine Daily News @rvps2001@mastodon.social · Jul 31, 2026

🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Morning Briefing:

  • Russia used N.Korean missile for deadly strike on Ukrainian village
  • Russia is ramping up mass production of drone motors
  • Russia's Ryazan refinery has halted oil processing after drone attack
  • Drone strike on Perm refinery causes fire, damages distillation unit
  • Russia extends diesel, gasoline export bans until end of Jan. 2027

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#ukraine #europe #russia #usa #northkorea #russiaukraineWar #russianwarCrimes

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Russia-Ukraine Daily News @rvps2001@mastodon.social · Jul 31, 2026
Replying to @rvps2001@mastodon.social

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  • Ukraine strikes Wildberries warehouses in Penza and Udmurtia
  • Ukrainian drones damage Russian grain export terminal on Kerch Strait
  • EU disburses $4b to Ukraine for more drones, air defence and jets
  • Kazakhstan's oil export gateway shut again by Ukrainian attacks in Black Sea

📨 Daily newsletter: https://russia-ukraine-newsletter.beehiiv.com/

💬 Telegram: https://t.me/russiaukrainedaily

#ukraine #europe #russia #usa #russiaukraineWar

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E-fels @mse_eu@mastodon.social · Jul 31, 2026
"... Even if we could once speak of two separate wars, to some degree they are now merging. Russia supplies Iran with intelligence, and Ukraine strikes an Iranian tanker in the Caspian Sea. This is no longer two theaters of war, but essentially one, flowing into the other. Ukraine and Israel have one and the same most important ally — the United States — and shared enemies. ..." #Russia #Iran #Ukraine #Israel #USA #IranWar #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar https://blogs.timesofisrael.com/the-merging-of-two-wars/
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icbrief.org @icbrief@infosec.exchange · Jul 31, 2026
Ukraine Brief — 2026-07-31 Russia's mass-strike campaign broadened into western Ukraine for the first time since March, reintroduced North Korean ballistic missiles after an eleven-month gap, and produced a Kh-101 cruise missile penetration 95 kilometers into Poland. Mass combined strikes will very likely continue at their near-weekly tempo through August, absent a diplomatic pause around the expected Witkoff-Kushner visit to Kyiv. North Korean-origin missiles will very likely feature in at least one such barrage before September 15. Moderate confidence reflects consistent intercept data across multiple 2026 strikes and Reuters sourcing attributing the resumption to a fresh stockpile. At least one NATO ally will likely commit Patriot-class interceptors to Ukraine by mid-September, though Poland is unlikely to convert its review into a concrete transfer pledge within that window. A confirmed US backfill arrangement is the indicator that would accelerate any commitment. NATO is unlikely to announce new standing air-defense measures on its eastern flank before October. The interceptor deficit is the binding constraint: nine of ten ballistics penetrated in the July 30 barrage, and licensed Patriot production cannot yield operational interceptors before fall. https://icbrief.org/ukraine/ #Ukraine #UkraineWar #RussiaUkraineWar
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Russia-Ukraine Daily News @rvps2001@mastodon.social · Jul 30, 2026

🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Morning Briefing:

  • Ukraine says month-long drone campaign has hit 164 energy targets
  • Ukrainian drones hit refineries, logistics centres in Ryazan, Perm, Rostov regions
  • Russian military use AI to fake territorial gains in Ukraine
  • Finland to stop maintaining poles carrying communication lines with Russia
  • Ukraine appeal against IOC decision to reinstate Russia
  • Pro-Russian propagandist Xenia Fedorova faces expulsion from France

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#ukraine #europe #russia #russiaukraineWar

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Russia-Ukraine Daily News @rvps2001@mastodon.social · Jul 30, 2026
Replying to @rvps2001@mastodon.social

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  • Wildberries eyes state support, seeks warehouses in Kazakhstan
  • Russia's Sberbank warns of rising corporate credit risks

📨 Daily newsletter: https://russia-ukraine-newsletter.beehiiv.com/

💬 Telegram: https://t.me/russiaukrainedaily

#ukraine #europe #russia #usa #russiaukraineWar

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Conflicts @conflicts@pubeurope.com · Jul 30, 2026
Ukraine-Russia war live: At least seven dead and Poland scrambles jets as Putin launches ‘massive’ strikes Latest pictures show Kyiv residents taking shelter in metro stations Residents in the Ukrainian capital, Kyiv, took shelter… #Conflict #Conflicts #War #horizontal #Russia #russiaukraine #RussiaUkraineWar #RussianinvasionofUkraine #Russo-UkrainianWar #Ukraine #war https://www.europesays.com/3162436/
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PKs Powerfromspace1 @Powerfromspace1@mstdn.social · Jul 30, 2026
🇺🇦 Air Raid Warning — Ukraine (July 30 | 04:26 Kyiv) AFU Air Alert Summary: 🚀 Groups of cruise missiles are moving west across central and western Ukraine. 04:10 – Cruise missiles move from Cherkasy toward Vinnytsia. 04:12 – A cruise missile passes Berdychiv (Zhytomyr region), heading west. #RussiaUkraineWar LIVE https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IcZ-7sFi1HM
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