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@cstross@wandering.shop
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@cstross@wandering.shop
@skjeggtroll@mastodon.online I'm using the term not only in the context of it's 1980s meaning but to refer to the investment bubble (investment in AI was notoriously slack during the first AI winter).
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@skjeggtroll@mastodon.online
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@skjeggtroll@mastodon.online
@cstross@wandering.shop It's difficult to divine, and in particular about the future, but I suspect the AI bubble popping might spell the end of cheap money for the tech industry in general and Silico
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@cstross@wandering.shop
@skjeggtroll@mastodon.online Of course it will. It's the consequence of the taper-off of Moore's Law rippling through the consequential supply chain it propped up for 50 years, ie. semiconductor produ
# HoldFast # Resist The Edge: There is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over.
- Hunter S. Thompson
Banner: a screen grab from “The Matrix” when Neo finally realizes his power and confronts Smith. You can do this too!
# AI # Robotics # Technology # NASA # JPL # Entrepreneur # Maker # Politics # Climate # science # Weird # Swords
c.im
# HoldFast # Resist The Edge: There is no honest way to explain it because the only people who really know where it is are the ones who have gone over.
- Hunter S. Thompson
Banner: a screen grab from “The Matrix” when Neo finally realizes his power and confronts Smith. You can do this too!
# AI # Robotics # Technology # NASA # JPL # Entrepreneur # Maker # Politics # Climate # science # Weird # Swords
c.im
@meltedcheese@c.im
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Nov 17, 2025
@cstross@wandering.shop @skjeggtroll@mastodon.online Moore’s Law is dead for now. I did a study a few years ago to look at what is happening and will happen in microprocessors. Short story is that traditional processor architecture is hitting end of life. Feature sizes are so small now that quantum effects are a significant factor. High speed and small size also means we are up against a thermal barrier as well. Clever approaches with System-On-a-Chip (#SOA), 3D stacking, maybe Processor-In-Memory (#PIM) and distributed multiprocessing will squeeze out more progress for maybe a decade. After that comes the next computing revolution — a shift to non-Von Neumann #computing. #Quantum has the spotlight because that’s the really big win, but there are other approaches that are likely to be commercially viable before quantum is mature. I’m optimistic about the tech, less so about the rate of adoption and change that will be required, especially if the most talented early- career computer scientists and engineers keep chasing the associative/statistical methods that include LLMs.
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