#enso

The Strongest El Niño Ever With all the July runs in, dynamical models give a ~90% chance of a record-setting event https://www.theclimatebrink.com/p/the-strongest-el-nino-ever #ENSO #ElNino #ClimateEmergency

"Closely spaced or overlapping El Niño events create cumulative cloud suppression. Each El Niño phase actively reduces low-level stratocumulus and trade-wind cumulus clouds over vast tropical and subtropical ocean areas as part of the Bjerknes feedback loop. When the next El Niño develops before full cloud recovery during intervening La Niña or neutral conditions, the albedo loss becomes progressively more persistent, producing the observed multi-decadal linear decline. […] Major El Niño periods (especially 2015–16 and 2023–24) coincide with accelerated albedo drops and incomplete recoveries." Ford, Gillon (2026). "The El Niño Ratchet Effect Overlapping El Niño Events as a Driver of Multi-Decadal Planetary Albedo Decline" https://www.academia.edu/167011795/The_El_Ni%C3%B1o_Ratchet_Effect_Overlapping_El_Ni%C3%B1o_Events_as_a_Driver_of_Multi_Decadal_Planetary_Albedo_Decline #ElNiño #RatchetEffect #ENSO #massExtinction #massExtinctions #climate #climateChange #globalHeating #climateBreakdown #climateHeating #research #study

“… Earth is moving beyond the range within which modern human civilisation developed. We’re entering climatic conditions that our infrastructure, ecosystems, economies and institutions were never designed to accommodate.” #Climate #ClimateChange #ClimateBreakdown #ElNino #ENSO https://www.lyrebirddreaming.com/post/the-graph-that-should-be-front-page-news