This question is genius: https://manifold.markets/MatthewBarnett/will-gpt4-get-the-monty-fall-proble
They came up with a tweak to the famous Monty Hall problem where it's obvious that you need to take the *opposite* decision from Monty Hall.
So the question is: will GPT4 be able to solve this tweaked version, or mistake it for the original one? Good mark of intelligence vs. rote learning.