Post #4161108

2026-07-28 10:30 UTC

There isn't a shred of hard evidence for any dev team getting 10x, 5x or even just 2x productivity using AI.

Replies (5)

@jmax@mastodon.social 2026-07-28 11:29

@jasongorman@mstdn.business Well, that's only because we haven't found the right metric. 🙄

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@armstrong@mastodon.design 2026-07-28 15:06

@jasongorman@mstdn.business my experience says otherwise, but what would you count as hard evidence?

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@johnefrancis@cosocial.ca 2026-07-28 10:54

@jasongorman@mstdn.business pretty good evidence of a strongly negative effect on senior resources as the volume of junior-created problems spikes when they use AI. A senior resource at one of my clients needed to adapt a set of 5 config files. Copy, change 2 values in each. 2 minute task. He used Claude and it mangled the piss out of them.

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@thirstybear@agilodon.social 2026-07-28 11:31

@jasongorman@mstdn.business But…but… marketing! Adverts! LinkedIn! 😉

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@_KevinTrainor@mastodon.online 2026-07-28 12:27

@jasongorman@mstdn.business, I agree that the claims of AI productivity improvement for software development are grossly exaggerated. Nevertheless, as a practitioner who has started working with AI tools in a software development workflow, I am fairly confident that these tools will increase productivity to a significant extent at an affordable price point. Perhaps we will only achieve 1.25X (or 1.175X). But my gut feel is that some measurable improvement will be realized.

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