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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · Apr 03, 2026
bing news | Here’s Why Palantir Is Winning Everywhere, Except in the Stock Market Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR) has seen its once‑spectacular run stall, with the stock now down more than 28 % from its late‑2025 peak despite consistently beating earnings expectations. The company posted a striking 70 % year‑over‑year revenue increase in Q4 2025 and outperformed analyst sales and EPS estimates by 6.3 % and 8.7 % respectively—numbers that would have driven the share price into the teens a year ago. Yet investors have stopped rewarding these beats, and the market appears desensitized to Palantir’s positive surprises. Revenue beats now seem expected because analysts rely on Palantir’s own low‑balled guidance, and unless the firm can deliver double‑digit earnings surprises, the stock is unlikely to see further upside. A second factor is the still‑inflated valuation. Even as the broader AI rally cools, Palantir trades at roughly 180 × free cash flow and 234 × earnings, far above typical multiples for high‑growth software companies. Analysts have priced in multiple years of accelerated execution, but without a sustained period of earnings growth the premium looks untenable. The market’s belief that a software business with high margins justifies such a lofty price tag is weakening, especially as the industry’s valuation norms shift. Finally, the broader software sector is losing its “golden goose” status. SaaS companies once commanded lofty sales‑to‑price ratios on the premise that subscription revenue would be perpetual, but advances in AI are making code creation accessible to non‑technical users, eroding the moat that firms like Palantir rely on. The S&P 500 software index is already down over 21 % year‑to‑date, signaling a sector‑wide reassessment. Given these dynamics, the outlook for PLTR is sideways or modestly declining, with any meaningful rally unlikely to return until at least the latter part of 2027. Read more: https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/04/03/heres-why-palantir-is-winning-everywhere-except-in-the-stock-market/ #palantir #nasdaq #pltr #ai #softwarecompanies
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · Mar 31, 2026
bing news | Palantir Drops 4%: Can Its AI Partnerships Justify One of the Market’s Most Expensive Valuations? Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) opened the day at $143.06 but quickly slipped 4% to $137, extending a rough stretch that has left the stock down about 22% year‑to‑date. While the company continues to deliver strong year‑over‑year U.S. commercial revenue growth, its trailing twelve‑month P/E ratio of roughly 220× makes it one of the most expensive large‑cap tech names, exposing it to sharp pressure whenever the broader market turns risk‑off. The wider tech sector is feeling the strain as the NASDAQ‑100 slides, and macro headwinds—geopolitical instability, rising oil prices, and heightened investor fear—are pushing capital toward safer assets, further crimping high‑multiple growth stocks like Palantir. Adding to the bearish sentiment, significant insider selling has raised concerns about confidence in the valuation. Former CEO Peter Thiel off‑loaded nearly 2 million shares in early March at $141‑$147, and current CEO Alex Karp sold multiple blocks in February at $132‑$136, signaling that founders and executives are cashing out at prices well below recent highs. Retail sentiment on Reddit reflected this unease, with a “Getting out of Palantir” post garnering strong up‑votes and comments and sentiment scores plunging from the 60s–70s range in mid‑March to single‑digit levels by the end of the month. These factors, combined with a broader retreat among high‑multiple tech stocks, have weighed heavily on PLTR’s recent trading. Despite the price pressure, Palantir’s AI‑driven platform continues to win high‑profile partnerships that sustain a bullish narrative. A five‑year extension with Stellantis expands the use of Palantir Foundry and its generative‑AI AIP capabilities, while a deal with AIG leverages the platform for real‑time underwriting of $1.6 billion in specialty premiums. Financially, the company reported Q4 2025 U.S. commercial revenue of $507 million—a 137% YoY increase—and total revenue of $1.406 billion, beating estimates. The Rule‑of‑40 score hit 127%, and management projects 2026 revenue of $7.182‑$7.198 billion (≈61% YoY growth). Analysts remain cautiously optimistic, with Wedbush maintaining a $230 price target and consensus forecasts a moderate buy at $186.60. The key watch points are whether Palantir can reclaim the $140‑$145 range and whether its partnership momentum can translate into sustained price support in a risk‑averse environment. Read more: https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/03/30/palantir-drops-4-can-its-ai-partnerships-justify-one-of-the-markets-most-expensive-valuations/ #palantirtechnologies #nasdaq #pltr
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@TheBadPlace@mastodon.ozioso.online · Mar 24, 2026
bing news | Palantir Surges 5% Monday: What the Pentagon’s Maven AI Decision Means for PLTR by undefined Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) surged about 5 % in Monday morning trading after the Pentagon officially designated the company’s Maven Smart System as a “program of record.” This status upgrades Maven from a pilot AI effort to a permanent, budget‑backed component of U.S. defense infrastructure, locking it into the annual defense appropriations process. For Palantir, the move is akin to a city hiring a contractor for a one‑time road repair and then making that contractor the permanent road‑maintenance department—turning revenue into a structurally embedded, recurring stream. The latest quarter already showed strong momentum: U.S. Government revenue rose to $570 million in Q4 2025, a 66 % year‑over‑year increase, and full‑year 2026 guidance projects roughly $7.2 billion in revenue (about 61 % growth) with adjusted free cash flow near $4 billion. While the stock now trades at a trailing P/E of 239× (forward ~116×), analysts argue the valuation assumes flawless execution. Morgan Stanley maintains an equal‑weight rating, citing the risk of over‑pricing, whereas bull arguments focus on the reduced execution uncertainty that a permanent government contract provides, which could justify a higher multiple. Looking ahead, Palantir’s next catalyst is its Q1 2026 earnings slated for May 11, which will reveal whether the Maven program is translating into accelerated government contract value. The stock, down about 15 % year‑to‑date before the rally, is also buoyed by optimistic prediction‑market odds (over 97 % probability of a positive close today and 84.5 % chance of finishing above $150 this week). Ultimately, the market is weighing whether the new “program of record” status makes the bull case more credible or if the lofty valuation still leaves little room for error. Read more: https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/03/23/palantir-surges-5-monday-what-the-pentagons-maven-ai-decision-means-for-pltr/ #palantir #pentagon #maven #pltr #u.s.government
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