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John Kennedy

@micefearboggis@fediscience.org
  • Open on fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him

Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO.

All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

0 Followers
0 Following
29 Posts
Joined July 27, 2020
Website:
https://www.jkclimate.fr/
Blog:
https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/author/diagrammonkey/
Github:
https://github.com/jjk-code-otter
ORCID:
https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6841-7289

Posts

Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 30, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @SusiArnott@mastodon.green
@SusiArnott You're welcome a million.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 28, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

What’s a zettajoule?

With approximations and back-of-an-envelope stuff that will make you cry.

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/28/whats-a-zettajoule/

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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 18, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Centennial Observing Stations State of Recognition Report

Long station series are vital for monitoring long-term environmental change. The report recognises 474 long-term observing stations worldwide including 10 that have been operating for more than 250 years.

https://library.wmo.int/records/item/58048-centennial-observing-stations-state-of-recognition-report-2025

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 13, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Not waving but drowning

When climate sceptics outsource their handwaving to AI the results are... predictable.

[With lovingly crafted 100% human MS Paint original artwork.]

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/12/not-waving-but-drowning/

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 12, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Not waving but drowning

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/12/not-waving-but-drowning/

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 07, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @Brad_Rosenheim@climatejustice.social
@Brad_Rosenheim Yes! Monitoring of tipping points and earth system feedbacks would be good to do. I looked through the 374 page tipping points report (https://global-tipping-points.org/) that came out before COP last year and saw one example of something actually being measured. Most of the tipping points remained somewhat nebulous, modelled risks, schematics etc. Occasionally, a paper will come out with a suggestion, but I don't know of anyone doing routine monitoring of tipping points, at least not the way we monitor global temperature, say. Probably ignorance on my part. However, it seems difficult too. Part of the difficulty is the availability of obs. Part of the difficulty is communication. Part of the difficulty is time scales which can be long with important changes stretched out over decades. Part of the difficulty is that, in many cases, we won't know when we've passed a tipping point even if we're watching it very closely.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 07, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

For a rainy day

Has global warming accelerated? Why? How much? How do we know? What does it all mean? etc. With hand-drawn illustrations, dodgy metaphors, and a complete lack of clear answers.

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/07/for-a-rainy-day/

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 06, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

A small update to my long and unjustifiably profane blog post on the rollercoaster that is global temperature and the interpretations of its wrigglin' innards.

ENSO is coming

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2025/07/04/an-egregious-encomium-or-execration-of-the-evanescent-ephemeral-and-effervescent-made-eternal-and-enduring-through-the-excretions-of-an-eejit/#:~:text=the%20broader%20discourse.-,2026%2D03%2D06,-%3A%20I%20should%20probably

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 06, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

OK, that's one glowing AI article too many in Nature and one cosy fireside editorial too many from Science.

Can we have a prestige journal with a bit of attitude please, a little bite, a hint of tooth. Articles I want to read not shred. Papers the authors might actually have enjoyed writing.

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 05, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Q. What do CGI cigarette butts and global temperature estimates have in common?

A. Verisimilitude.

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/03/verisimilitude/

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 03, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Word of the day is verisimilitude

On data, reality, realism, the texture of reality and, yes, verisimilitude.

https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2026/03/03/verisimilitude/

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Mar 02, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

RE: @micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Re-up for the Monday morning crowds.

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Feb 23, 2026
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
How well can we quantify when 1.5 °C of global warming has been exceeded? Open review until 11 March https://essd.copernicus.org/preprints/essd-2025-825/
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 22, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @hellomiakoda@pdx.social
@hellomiakoda@pdx.social Yeah, me too.
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @expertenkommision_cyberunfall@mastodon.social
@expertenkommision_cyberunfall@mastodon.social There's a prototype app, [legal disclaimer: at the moment the AI model is still being trained, so the scream emanates from a hell portal that we keep open in Slough. No one has noticed.]
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @martind@mastodon.online
@martind@mastodon.online Are there more bad ideas nowadays or is it just that we're more likely to hear about them?
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @bit101@mstdn.social
@bit101@mstdn.social I need to recalibrate.
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @jarjan@mederland.nl
@jarjan@mederland.nl What's a bandcamp?
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @drj@typo.social
@drj@typo.social Ah... so *that's* what happened.
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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @ltning@pleroma.anduin.net
@ltning@pleroma.anduin.net When I had the idea at three this morning, it took me rather too long to realise too.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Dec 04, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org

Hey! I’m CEO of a company that has just raised $10 billion for an app that takes the hard work out of enjoying music. Did you know, some people waste hours each day listening to “tunes”. Our AI will listen to it for you and summarise it in a 15 second scream leaving you more time to focus on what's really important in life: adding value.

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Open post
micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Nov 11, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @Ashedryden@xoxo.zone
@Ashedryden@xoxo.zone I had to travel to Egypt for work and the only ways to contact the Egyptian embassy were Facebook and WhatsApp.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · May 07, 2025
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @wonderofscience@mastodon.social
@wonderofscience@mastodon.social They are though, aren't they.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Jan 12, 2024
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @steve@fediscience.org
@steve I agree absolutely. I think that to do that, we need to communicate uncertainty in global temperature before we get into that situation.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Jan 11, 2024
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @micefearboggis@fediscience.org
@steve One can imagine the confusion caused by replying to the question "have we passed 1.5C?" by saying "maybe" for ten years. Or more.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Jan 11, 2024
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @steve@fediscience.org
@steve No journalist would of course. An uncertainty range would confuse their audience. But not providing one misleads them. Tomorrow, five other groups will release their numbers and they will all be different. It's the work of one sentence to clarify all that. Your suggestion for a fuzzy threshold is an interesting one (and thanks for the kind words about the blog post). It acknowledges the uncertainty, which is great. Whether it's practical, I don't know.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Jan 11, 2024
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @steve@fediscience.org
@steve Simple clear messaging *that's in line with the underlying science* matters. The 1.48C in the lede is missing an uncertainty estimate too. The difficulty for the plot is, which pre-industrial baseline do you pick? The dataset Copernicus produce only goes back to 1940, so the BBC would have to choose a method for converting to a pre-industrial baseline. There are multiple methods. The method you choose changes the message. See https://diagrammonkey.wordpress.com/2023/11/22/will-we-reach-1-5c-in-2023-or-2c-on-tuesday/ for a more detailed analysis
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Jan 11, 2024
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @steve@fediscience.org
@steve Uncertainty in the pre-industrial baseline is roughly a quarter of a degree, varies with season and isn't well constrained for daily temperatures.
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micefearboggis
John Kennedy @micefearboggis@fediscience.org · Feb 17, 2023
John Kennedy
@micefearboggis@fediscience.org

Climate scientist, diagram monkey, probabilistic historian and scientific illustrator. Occasional glass engraver, embroiderer, and computer 3d stuff-er. He/him Currently self-employed and working on a short contract with the WMO. All views and opinions are my own. This is not, sadly, a promise of novelty: it's a disclaimer. Though, on reflection, it sounds slightly megalomaniacal. All views? Really?! No, just the ones I express.

fediscience.org
Replying to @L_howes@mastodon.social
@L_howes@mastodon.social All you need to do now is write the article. That should fix everything up, I think.
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