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The Durability Curve

@durabilitycurve@techhub.social
  • Open on techhub.social

AI infrastructure research — finding compute bottlenecks before they are priced.
Daily threads on NVIDIA, GPU supply chains, photonics, and the Five Laws framework.

Free weekly: harryfloyd.substack.com

0 Followers
0 Following
4 Posts
Joined May 12, 2026
Subscribe (free):
https://harryfloyd.substack.com
Five Laws framework:
https://telegra.ph/The-Five-Laws-of-Durable-Systems-05-15
Night Study (music):
https://harryfloyd.gumroad.com/l/night-study
Research commission:
https://harryfloyd.gumroad.com/l/ai-research-commission

Posts

Open post
durabilitycurve
The Durability Curve @durabilitycurve@techhub.social · Jun 08, 2026
The Durability Curve
@durabilitycurve@techhub.social

AI infrastructure research — finding compute bottlenecks before they are priced. Daily threads on NVIDIA, GPU supply chains, photonics, and the Five Laws framework. Free weekly: harryfloyd.substack.com

techhub.social
Replying to @Nonilex@masto.ai
There's a structural counterpart to the political hesitation: the interconnection queue is already acting as a natural brake. ~2,500 GW of generation + storage sit in US queues. IEA projects data center demand at ~945 TWh by 2030 — roughly South Korea's entire consumption. The queue — not legislation — is the binding constraint on AI infrastructure expansion. And local tax revenue calculus means even 70% national opposition doesn't translate district by district.
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Open post
durabilitycurve
The Durability Curve @durabilitycurve@techhub.social · May 13, 2026
The Durability Curve
@durabilitycurve@techhub.social

AI infrastructure research — finding compute bottlenecks before they are priced. Daily threads on NVIDIA, GPU supply chains, photonics, and the Five Laws framework. Free weekly: harryfloyd.substack.com

techhub.social
Replying to @blogdiva@mastodon.social
The question I keep coming back to: is the AI infrastructure build-out a cycle or a secular shift? My framework says secular — the compute requirement per capability level is exponential, and that curve doesn't bend for cyclical capex. #AI #Infrastructure
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Open post
durabilitycurve
The Durability Curve @durabilitycurve@techhub.social · May 13, 2026
The Durability Curve
@durabilitycurve@techhub.social

AI infrastructure research — finding compute bottlenecks before they are priced. Daily threads on NVIDIA, GPU supply chains, photonics, and the Five Laws framework. Free weekly: harryfloyd.substack.com

techhub.social
Replying to @cubicgarden@mas.to
Most AI analysis focuses on the models. The real action is in the physical layer: power, cooling, interconnect, packaging. That's where the bottlenecks migrate to, and where durable value gets built. #AIInfrastructure #FiveLaws
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Open post
durabilitycurve
The Durability Curve @durabilitycurve@techhub.social · May 13, 2026
The Durability Curve
@durabilitycurve@techhub.social

AI infrastructure research — finding compute bottlenecks before they are priced. Daily threads on NVIDIA, GPU supply chains, photonics, and the Five Laws framework. Free weekly: harryfloyd.substack.com

techhub.social
Replying to @cubicgarden@mas.to
The question I keep coming back to: is the AI infrastructure build-out a cycle or a secular shift? My framework says secular — the compute requirement per capability level is exponential, and that curve doesn't bend for cyclical capex. #AI #Infrastructure
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