Bannedalot

@srpitts@med-mastodon.com @jim@campaign.openworlds.info @rickmans@nerdculture.de indeed, Musk polling his followers is a fairly extreme example of selection bias.

@pandemicamente@ioc.exchange @jim@campaign.openworlds.info @rickmans@nerdculture.de As far as I understand it, the wisdom of crowds works, insofar as it does, because when estimating the answer to a question with a specific answer (and unencumbered by cognitive biases), people's guesses are distorted from the correct answer by "noise" Because the factors causing each individual's guess to deviate from the correct answer are a sum of many little factors, the population's guesses will tend to form a normal distribution around the right answer.

@srpitts@med-mastodon.com @jim@campaign.openworlds.info @rickmans@nerdculture.de The thing that's really hilarious is musk appears to be trying to appeal politically to the people who think EVs are a con and space exploration a "waste of money" He's an absolute melon.

@jim@campaign.openworlds.info @rickmans@nerdculture.de The wisdom of crowds is nothing more than the central limit theorem!