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@landley@mstdn.jp

Post #4265620

2026-06-11 18:55 UTC

@cmsdengl@mas.to The article I just linked to was from 2021 (saying it was already dead then), https://www.computer.org/csdl/magazine/cs/2017/02/mcs2017020004/13rRUzphDu2 was 2017, and I'm typing this on a laptop that came out in 2012. It was high end then and I've upgraded the ram and disk, but modern laptops are only about 3 doublings better. (It beats current chromebooks.) The curve started bending down in 2010. Doesn't mean the doubling stopped, it means the period between each doubling increased (and/or needed WAY more investment each time).

Replies (1)

  • @landley@mstdn.jp 2026-06-11 19:00

    @cmsdengl@mas.to The problem is there's an awful lot of financially motivated reasoning preventing people from getting good numbers about the state of the industry. Everybody knows Moore's Law is long dead but it can't be SEEN to be dead. This was from 2013: https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-status-of-moores-law-its-complicated A dozen years later, the current bubble is ritually beating a dead horse because there's still INVESTMENT to be had, if not working products delivered to customers in a cost-effective manner.

    Open ##4265622