Post #2052184
2026-03-15 17:22 UTC
@bkuhn Do you think that it _could_ burst in the near term, though? All this compute is absurdly expensive for something that doesn't provide the value it claims.
Replies (1)
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@bkuhn@fedi.copyleft.org 2026-03-15 17:51
I played #poker for a living (part-time) when I worked for #FSF & SFLC as I was paid so little I couldn't afford {Boston/NYC}-area w/out 2ⁿᵈ job. I'm reasonably good at making odds for real-world situations after all that poker. I have followed #LLM-backed #AI closely enough, & Wall Street is just a big casino really, so here's my predictions: IMO, AI bubble bursts (≥15% drop in 90+% AI-related stocks in ≤3months): ≤1yr: 30-to-1 against ≤3yr: 3-to-1 " ≤5yr: 1-to-10 favorite ≤10yr: 1-to-25 "