Post #2052185
2026-03-15 17:51 UTC
I played #poker for a living (part-time) when I worked for #FSF & SFLC as I was paid so little I couldn't afford {Boston/NYC}-area w/out 2ⁿᵈ job.
I'm reasonably good at making odds for real-world situations after all that poker. I have followed #LLM-backed #AI closely enough, & Wall Street is just a big casino really, so here's my predictions:
IMO, AI bubble bursts (≥15% drop in 90+% AI-related stocks in ≤3months):
≤1yr: 30-to-1 against
≤3yr: 3-to-1 "
≤5yr: 1-to-10 favorite
≤10yr: 1-to-25 "
Replies (1)
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@bkuhn@fedi.copyleft.org 2026-03-15 17:54
Just in case it needs to be said: I am not a qualified investment advisor and the post that I'm replying to is not investment advice. These are just predictions based on the information I have because I've followed carefully the rise of LLM-backed AI and related technologies, and my experience studying the policy and market implications of past tech bubbles. Please do not invest based on my advice. I could easily be very wrong.