@wilbowma I think this is a useful post and I mostly agree with your conclusions, although I am not a fan of the structure.

I think you phrased every argument except your own in a way that is very easy to refute by making them about the technology (and not the AI industry), only presenting their "real" versions in the section about power. But this is what (most) people really mean by these arguments, and I think it sounds a bit disingenuous to pretend otherwise.

I also have other complaints that were already raised here, but overall thank you for writing this.