I feel like Trump and MAGA have lost A LOT of steam since 2016. People like to pretend that his support has been consistent, but so far his second term he seems to be a lot more universally hated. I feel like a pretty big shift among the right happened when he came out and not only blatantly lied about the Epstein files, but disowned his own supporters. I feel like his core base is now fractured and unenthusiastic about him. He doesn't wield as much influence as he once did. We'll see if that's really the case in the midterms.