Post #4509995
2026-08-08 20:07 UTC
Well, the current trajectory points to:
LLM capabilities topping out.
All the tooling around them not keeping up anyway.
Actual “AGI” being distant and completely unrelated to contemporary models.
Inference costs plummeting.
The last one is critical.
Right this second, you can run Minimax H3 on a desktop for the tiny fraction of the compute/RAM OpenAI Sora took. And it’s better.
In a month, it will be ~8X faster.
You can run DeepseekV4 flash, dirt cheap, and get what Claude was less than a year ago. And it’s gonna spread to every host out there, to systems like Cerebas ASICs that don’t even need HBM.
So… Even if you’re an AI acolyte. And we go with that for the sake of argument…
We don’t actually need all that RAM for hosting generative models?
I’m very interested to see what happens to all these datacenters over the next two-three years.
They spent all this money on something that’s gonna be cheap as dirt to run, largely run locally, and that won’t need so much matrix-multiply on GPUs once bitnet takes off, sooo… they can’t make money off that.
What happens then?
What happens to all those Stargate RAM wafers, and excess datacenters?
Replies (2)
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@vala@lemmy.dbzer0.com 2026-08-08 20:41
Deepseek v4 Flash is insanely good and basically free. Especially the latest model which I think is only available from China right now.
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@some_guy@lemmy.sdf.org 2026-08-08 20:49
What happens to all those Stargate RAM wafers, and excess datacenters? The bigger question is what happens to the world-economy when the largest players bottom out and the companies betting on them are massively downgraded because of their huge investments in a fantasy about eternal growth. Hope everyone is setting aside extra cash; it’s gonna make 2008 look like a walk in the park.