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@david_chisnall@infosec.exchange

Post #4357610

2026-08-03 15:00 UTC

@failedLyndonLaRouchite@mas.to @anttipeltola@mastodon.world The big problem (aside from missing around $1.65T of spending) is that NVIDIA is a supplier for everyone else, so adding NVIDIA's revenue to the total revenue makes no sense. That $516 B NVIDIA's revenue is actually everyone else's spend. The same for AMD, though their revenue is largely a round error. Everyone else is in a similar place in the supply chain. If you remove the two GPU vendors (which is what their 'hide infrastructure' button) does, you get: Spend: $1.2T Revenue: $183B Which is a 6.5/1. Except that's not the real number, that $1.2T is actually $2.85T. Spending $2.85T to bring in $183B is silly. Especially since a huge amount of that $2.85T is stuff that fully depreciates over 3 years.

Replies (1)

  • @david_chisnall@infosec.exchange @anttipeltola@mastodon.world D I look at a world where US GDP is ~ 40 Trillion, and global GDP is well over 100 Trillion and a default on a trillion or so in AI bonds just doesn't seem that critical; bigger then WHOOPs* or Enron or the dotcom bust, but not really that big a thing yeah, we may have a mild recession but those come and go, I mean really really hard on those laid off, but overall not that big a deal * https://time.com/archive/6700863/whoops-a-2-billion-blunder-washington-public-power-supply-system/

    Open ##4358358