2024-05-01 20:55 UTC
@polotek@social.polotek.net The idea is that the software industry does this wrong, generally. A calibrated (more on this in a minute) expert can answer questions like "give me two dates where you are 90% sure you'll be done between those dates" (which is, of course, *not* the question we usually ask in the software industry).
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@jonm@hachyderm.io 2024-05-01 20:56
@polotek@social.polotek.net The way you then measure this is to see when you actually finish, and then see how often the actual date fell within the range. If you are well-calibrated, this should happen 90% of the time.