2026-07-30 16:24 UTC
Credit where credit is due: my projections have moved increasingly toward Hansen's over time, on the back of what appears increasingly likely to be the strongest El Nino on record later this fall. Year to date temperatures remain less exceptional (third warmest on record).
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@hausfath@fediscience.org 2026-07-30 16:25
2027 is now expected to reach 1.7C in my model – exactly where Hansen predicted it would land (albeit in the GISTEMP dataset) back in December 2025: