2026-07-30 16:25 UTC
2027 is now expected to reach 1.7C in my model – exactly where Hansen predicted it would land (albeit in the GISTEMP dataset) back in December 2025:
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@hausfath@fediscience.org 2026-07-30 16:25
I'd still argue that this doesn't tell us all that much about bigger questions like climate sensitivity – its just not really possible use short surface temperature trends to constrain it much. But there are other lines of evidence that do point in that direction.