Post #2925488
2026-04-23 15:29 UTC
@mattiem@mastodon.social @kyle@mister.computer All my experience so far is that we're already into the upper right of the S-curve. The models are getting incrementally better, but often just moving sideways. Claude 4.5-4.7 is definitely not *exponentially* better. We're running into big compute bottlenecks, with rising downtime and degrading performance, which is your point, but harnessing that isn't something raw inference (smarter AIs) can do. "AGI" (whatever that is) can't build itself a data center.
Replies (2)
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@cocoaphony@mastodon.social 2026-04-23 15:32
@mattiem@mastodon.social @kyle@mister.computer We're seeing the same things we always see: Technology cannot solve problems that are fundamentally about human coordination. It's not just spreading knowledge and understanding. In many cases we do not have the same goals. There is no "correct" answer that a super-oracle could spit out and we would be satisfied.
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@kyle@mister.computer 2026-04-23 19:49
@cocoaphony@mastodon.social @mattiem@mastodon.social by many measurements we are still on many different exponential curves https://joelbkr.substack.com/p/straight-lines-on-graphs