Post #2064016
2026-04-26 17:32 UTC
@wim_v12e @csepp
and if the estimates get revised down by, say, .05C/year for the next ten years, it's down to 2.3, which is already wildly better
but again, exponential growth.
Replies (1)
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@wim_v12e@scholar.social 2026-04-27 06:47
@pixx @csepp Here are the estimates for the last 5 years. There is no clear downward trend. 2021 2.8°C (range: 2.3–3.3°C) 2022 2.8°C (range: 1.9–3.3°C) 2023 3.0°C (range: 1.9–3.8°C) 2024 3.1°C (range: 1.9–3.8°C) 2025 2.8°C (range: 2.1–3.9°C) "UNEP noted, however, that methodological updates account for 0.1°C of the improvement,while the withdrawal of the United States from the Paris Agreement will cancel another 0.1°C, “meaning that the new NDCs themselves have barely moved the needle.” "