Post #2064017
2026-04-27 06:47 UTC
@pixx @csepp
Here are the estimates for the last 5 years. There is no clear downward trend.
2021 2.8°C (range: 2.3–3.3°C)
2022 2.8°C (range: 1.9–3.3°C)
2023 3.0°C (range: 1.9–3.8°C)
2024 3.1°C (range: 1.9–3.8°C)
2025 2.8°C (range: 2.1–3.9°C)
"UNEP noted, however, that methodological updates account for 0.1°C of the improvement,while the withdrawal of the United States from the Paris Agreement will cancel another 0.1°C, “meaning that the new NDCs themselves have barely moved the needle.” "
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