2026-07-13 15:20 UTC
The 2026/2027 El Niño event has already grown faster than any prior events (at least on an ONI basis). Here its observed and projected future evolution compared to the strongest prior El Niño events in recorded history.
Replies (2)
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@hausfath@fediscience.org 2026-07-13 15:20
Currently 13 out of 14 dynamical models expect a record setting event based on the Niño 3.4 region sea surface temperature anomalies (ONI), with overall odds of a record sitting at 91% across all 667 model ensemble members.
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@tatillbakaframtiden@social.spejset.org 2026-07-14 22:15
@hausfath@fediscience.org what does an "ONI basis" mean?