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  A HUGE call: Democrat Keisha Lance Bottoms has won Georgia's governorship, NBC projects. The last time a Democrat was elected governor was *1998.* Bottoms will also be both first woman and first Black person to lead the state, as well as first Black woman elected governor of ANY state.

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  A key resource tonight is The Downballot's 2024 presidential results by congressional district. All results are for the districts as they look tonight, taking into account redistricting in Texas, California, Florida, and other states. The Downballot's calculations ...

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  An extraordinary stat -->

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  Republicans are making a late effort to stop Jamie Davis, the Democratic candidate for U.S. Senate in *Louisiana,* as the battleground pushes into areas that seemed completely safe for the GOP just weeks ago. Morning Digest: The battlefiel...

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  New Democratic poll of #LASen finds Tuesday's race tied at 47 apiece between Democrat Jamie Davis and Republican Julia Letlow. The pollster, Lincoln Park Strategies, tells us that the sample size was 602 likely voters. Client was the Louisiana Democratic Party. LA-Sen: Lincoln Park Strategie...

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  Seventy-two percent of respondents say they've seen Ramaswamy's ad with Acton's estranged mother. Of that group, *one* said they went from supporting Acton to backing Ramaswamy. As in one respondent. Two percent (7 respondents) say they went from Ramaswamy to Acton. RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:alqdxbp33ceoyly2o46nvcrc/post/3mywmfbhtnc2n

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  Suffolk University's Ohio poll for USA Today: Senate: Sherrod Brown (D): 47, Jon Husted (R-inc): 44, all others 2% or less. Governor: Amy Acton (D): 48, Vivek Ramaswamy (R): 44, Don Kissick (L): 4. www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suff...

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  Tennessee Republican Brent Taylor, running to flip a House seat his party radically gerrymandered, reportedly sent unsolicited nude photos as recently as 2021. Taylor faces Democrat Justin Pearson for a seat that Trump won 60-39 under the new lines. www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downba... Brent Taylor's Sexting Problem

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  Rare poll of South Dakota finds voters overwhelmingly rejecting measure to repeal Medicaid expansion if federal support for expansion ever falls below 90% of its cost. Emerson College also shows huge majority rejecting plan to require 60% to amend constitution. www.keloland.com/keloland-com... Morning Digest: The South Dako...

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  A true WHOA: Former Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan will drop out of race for governor of Michigan, Gongwer Michigan reports. Duggan is a former Democrat who has been running as an independent. Duggan, in stunner, to end bid...

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  By the way, we have a couple of specials on deck tonight, too: • CA-14: Eric Swalwell's seat, certain to be won by a Dem or go to an Aug runoff • GA SD-07: Light-blue Dem seat that Dems are concerned about b/c of marquee GOP runoffs at the top of the ticket (and no comparable Dem races)

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  "The wall has broken. The enemy is inside the fort," one national Republican political operative told @axios.com@bsky.brid.gy. "We are now fighting hand to hand." Scoop: Senate Republicans fear...

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  Vivek Ramaswamy has not only confirmed the commercial with Amy Acton's estranged mother was made by his campaign, Axios also reports he's now spending $4 million to air it. Exclusive: Ramaswamy doubles d...

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  The opening ad RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:alqdxbp33ceoyly2o46nvcrc/post/3myczpdg73c2g The Two Ds

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  The Democrats' top Senate super PAC is spending in *Mississippi*: The AP reports Senate Majority PAC is spending $1.2 million to help Scott Colom against GOP incumbent Cindy Hyde-Smith. Colom would be the state's first Black senator since Reconstruction. Senate Democrats launch first ...

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  Two more GOP amendments go down to crushing defeats, both in MO. #4 would have made future ballot initiatives impossible to pass by requiring winning a majority statewide *and* in each congressional district. #5 would have eliminated the state income tax.

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  The new congressional gerrymander Tennessee Republicans released Wednesday would shatter the state’s only majority-Black district and ensure that Donald Trump would have won every seat by at least 20 points. Morning Digest: New GOP map di...

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  The RGA appears to have triaged a major governor’s race in a swing state (first broken by @mirsnews.bsky.social@bsky.brid.gy last week), and yet it seems to have drawn very little attention. RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:45vdy7ylz5mn3xjepjpr42t7/post/3mxpnb4mo322j

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  Just a few months ago it would have been all but unthinkable for Republicans to cancel ad time for North Carolina's Senate race and redirect it to Kansas, a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 1932. But here we are. Top GOP group pauses Senate sp...

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  Don't sleep on Montana's state Supreme Court race. Moderates have long held the balance of power on the seven-member body, but Dan Wilson, who is running with the state GOP's ardent support, would strengthen conservatives should he beat Amy Eddy, who is emphasizing nonpartisanship. Morning Digest: Conservatives ...

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  Lots more in our new Digest: • A stunning new poll has Vermont's Republican governor losing, but caution is warranted. • Nevada Republican's new scandal tests GOP's hold on red House seat. • Democratic group spends over $1 million boosting former Rep. Tom Perriello's uphill comeback in Virginia. RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:alqdxbp33ceoyly2o46nvcrc/post/3mwdqvlx5hk2j

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  Oklahoma Republicans gerrymandered this U.S. House seat to make sure they never had a repeat of their shock 2018 loss. But Jena Nelson argues she has a path to unseat Republican Rep. Stephanie Bice—and national Democrats reportedly are listening. Morning Digest: The site of 20...

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  When Democrats flipped #OK05 in 2018, it was a laser-eyes capper to a wild election night. Since then, Republicans have made the seat considerably redder, so if it's back in play ... hoo boy. www.oklahoman.com/story/news/p...

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  South Dakota’s Republican secretary of state, Monae Johnson, just endorsed the Democrat running to succeed her, Terrence Davis. Johnson lost the GOP nod at a party convention in June to Heather Baxter, a member of the state Freedom Caucus who wants to hand-count all ballots. A Personal Statement from Mona...

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  Democrat Eliott Rodriguez, the former local TV anchor challenging GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, responds to her ad: "She owns all of these deportations, ICE harassment and racial profiling. She voted for all this. She gave Trump the money and the tools to do this." #FL27 RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:zkyhyxegzazeor2pbhsuoc5x/post/3mvpqupdqts23

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  Whenever the Mississippi Senate race comes up on social media, someone will say the candidates need to win a majority to avoid a runoff. But that's just not true, because there's no runoff for this race. The Downballot puts on our mythbusting hat and explains where this confusion came from. Morning Digest: Why Mississipp...

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  Mitch McConnell says he'll be back tonight x.com/SenMcConnell...

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  After the MO Supreme Court reinstated the 2022 map a week ago today, we reverted our pres-by-CD calculations to feature those numbers instead. We left them in place this week, which proved to be the right call based on SCOTUS' stay this AM. Find them here! www.the-downballot.com/p/the-downba...

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  A thread on how we got to here in Missouri, and what happens next. For that, we head back to May of 2022. On the 18th of that month, GOP Gov. Mike Parson finally signed a new congressional map for the state's eight districts into law after a prolonged battle between hardliners and GOP leaders. RE: https://bsky.app/profile/did:plc:alqdxbp33ceoyly2o46nvcrc/post/3mv27ccdtrk2u

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  To be super clear, the federal district court did *not* "restore" the GOP map, HB1. Instead, it forbade the state from using anything *but* HB1. However, the MO Supreme Court explicitly said the state *cannot* use HB1. That ruling is still in effect. So we have apparently conflicting orders.