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• Post #1054294

  icymi while you were having a nice life: 20 mins of me explaining fixed and random effects in the context of group confounding, with coded examples of Bayesian implementations. Link cued to start of relevant part https://youtu.be/iwVqiiXYeC4?list=PLDcUM9US4XdPz-KxHM4XHt7uUVGWWVSus&t=3287

• Post #1054293

  StanCon is still happening in September. Have you considered the probabilistic dividends? The keynote speakers will cover everything from disease to drugs to sharks. Bayesian Sharks (doo-doo, doo-doo, doo-doo). https://mc-stan.org/events/stancon2024/

• Post #1054290

  Looking for a mind-growing distraction? How about my 3 part intro to Bayesian causal inference. It's like a condensed version of my book, 10 weeks of causal computation in 3 short blog posts. Take with plenty of water. https://elevanth.org/blog/2021/06/15/regression-fire-and-dangerous-things-1-3/

• Post #1054288

  The International Society for Bayesian Analysis tells me Statistical Rethinking has won the 2024 DeGroot Prize for its contributions to "statistical inference, decision theory and statistical applications". This is huge honor especially given the previous winners who have influenced me so much. Book details: https://xcelab.net/rm/

• Post #1054284

  sometimes kind people drag me out of my house to ride the wheels - highly recommended

• Post #1054282

  wut

• Post #1054280

  @DataAngler I think this is an RStudio bug that hits numerous packages. Use the ordinary Terminal app instead of RStudio and see if that helps?

• Post #1054276

  Hagoromo (羽衣 Feather Mantle) is a 16th century Japanese play about a humble fisherman who finds the feather dress of a heavenly being. This is what it is like to use Hagoromo Fulltouch chalk. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BORVxbsdkCM

• Post #1054274

  "She [Margaret Watts Hughes] began to wonder what would happen if she placed a small heap of wet color paste instead of powder at the center of the diaphragm and covered it with a glass plate, singing different sustained notes into the eidophone." https://www.themarginalian.org/2024/08/08/margaret-watts-hughes-voice-figures/

• Post #1054272

  As a sparkly citizen of the world, you must defend yourself against research. You need it, but you can't assume peer review works. But a little knowledge goes a long way. Here is a 15 min video of me explaining one of the most common fallacies, "TABLE 2": https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uanZZLlzKHw&t=4307s

• Post #1054270

  Due to a detour this tour yesterday ended up longer than planned. A good adventure along the old Saale-Leipzig canal