Ulrike Franke
rikefranke@bagarrosphere.fr
<p>Senior Fellow @ecfr<br />. <a href="https://bagarrosphere.fr/tags/Drone" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Drone</span></a> politics PhD @UniofOxford<br />. previously @sciencespo<br />. <a href="https://bagarrosphere.fr/tags/Germany" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Germany</span></a> <a href="https://bagarrosphere.fr/tags/Defence" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>Defence</span></a> <a href="https://bagarrosphere.fr/tags/MilitaryStuff" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>MilitaryStuff</span></a> <a href="https://bagarrosphere.fr/tags/AI" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#<span>AI</span></a> Diskutiert bei @SicherheitsPod</p>
Posts
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“An explosive-laden drone discovered at an airport in Germany this week likely belongs to the Russian government, according to U.S. officials familiar with intelligence reports about the incident.” Not more info than that in the article though. https://www.wsj.com/world/europe/u-s-intel-links-russia-to-explosive-drone-at-german-airport-8a69a823?st=yWMmTc
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The German government is working on a plan on what to do if regions vote in extreme-right AFD governments which may not allow NATO troop movements or may otherwise want to impede defence policies and Russia deterrence. https://www.n-tv.de/politik/Sorge-vor-AfD-Wahlerfolgen-Bund-arbeitet-an-Nato-Notfallplan-id31141678.html
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Interview with me in Finanz und Wirtschaft
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Great article with lots of interesting stats on US power America is mighty—but becoming less dominant https://economist.com/interactive/united-states/2026/07/01/america-is-mighty-but-becoming-less-dominant from The Economist
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Talked to the Swiss Radio about recent drone sightings in Switzerland and beyond. Listen here https://www.srf.ch/audio/rendez-vous/drohnenfluege-ueber-kritischer-infrastruktur?partId=lToNfu5-twYmtAFHWp_pOI8vcy4
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Got to speak to Die ZEIT about drones https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2026-07/drohnen-ukraine-revolution-ulrike-franke/komplettansicht
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Ukraine has used a naval drone to transport a ground drone to attack Russia. https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-launched-robotic-amphibious-assault-mission-2026-7
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I published, alongside a dozen think-tankers and experts this article (in French and German) about the future of the FCAS (SCAF) project. Big thanks to Élie Tenenbaum for bringing the group together. https://www.challenges.fr/entreprise/defense/le-scaf-apres-le-scaf-apres-lexplosion-de-lavion-de-combat-ngf-paris-et-berlin-doivent-tout-miser-sur-le-cloud_644869
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Ukraine just sent a ground drone, loaded onto a naval drone to Russia. The operation was filmed by an aerial drone. Future war today. https://www.businessinsider.com/ukraine-launched-robotic-amphibious-assault-mission-2026-7
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Had the pleasure to add two recommendations to this summer’s War on the Rocks reading list. https://warontherocks.com/the-2026-war-on-the-rocks-summer-fiction-reading-list/
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@Bene @Sicherheitspod Heheheh
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“Six Ukrainian companies have received permission to export about 100 drones each, the source said, speaking on condition of anonymity.” So not yet mass, but Ukrainian companies can compete in the Drone Dominance competition https://www.reuters.com/business/aerospace-defense/ukraine-agrees-export-drones-us-pentagon-plan-source-says-2026-07-22/
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Looks like Ukraine actually has the cards. “The agreement is expected to create a formal pathway for Ukrainian land, air, and maritime drones to be exported to the United States for military testing and evaluation, potentially informing future Pentagon procurement requirements.” https://www.rferl.org/a/us-ukraine-drone-cooperation-agreement/33809808.html
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Austria changes its military conscription law and prolongs its military service by three months. #neutrality https://orf.at/stories/3437435/
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Super interesting discussion (and paper) based on a huge dataset showing that peacetime rearmament is almost never financed by cuts in social spending https://cepr.org/multimedia/guns-and-butter
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US undersecretary of defence Colby announces that the US forces’ “Europe Posture Review” has begun. This is about creating a “NATO 3.0”, aka NATO with less US.
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“Sovereign deep strike has granted Ukraine a level of recognition and agency it did not have before.” Great essay by Fabian Hoffmann https://missilematters.substack.com/p/the-state-makes-the-missile-and-the
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More from the counterdrone front https://breakingdefense.com/2026/07/ukraines-skyfall-unveils-new-drone-interceptor-to-strike-russian-shaheds-faster/
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Interview with me in Die Presse https://www.diepresse.com/33104081/sicherheitsexpertin-die-alte-welt-wird-verschwinden
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War and Climate Change: at least one of the several forest fires in Germany at the moment is thought to have been cause by WWII ammunition exploding/causing fires because of the heat.
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Had the pleasure of being on France Culture with Céline Marangé on Russia, hybrid warfare and our reaction to it. (In French) https://www.radiofrance.fr/franceculture/podcasts/l-invite-e-des-matins-du-samedi/l-europe-est-elle-prete-pour-la-guerre-6825528
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The state of things in Germany after one year of chancellor Merz seen from France https://www.lemonde.fr/international/article/2026/05/05/en-allemagne-friedrich-merz-un-chancelier-au-plus-bas-un-an-apres-son-investiture_6685601_3210.html?lmd_medium=al&amp;lmd_campaign=envoye-par-appli&amp;lmd_creation=ios&amp;lmd_source=default
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Got to talk about Friedrich Merz’s first year in office, Zeitenwende and 5000 fewer US troops in Germany on RFI this morning. #GrandInviteInternational
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“The United States has informed Switzerland that deliveries of its Patriot missile system will be further delayed and become more expensive due to the Iran war, the Swiss government said” https://www.reuters.com/world/united-states-informs-switzerland-delays-price-hike-patriot-delivery-2026-05-13/
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Yet another delay of US kit sold to allies because of the Iran war. This time it impacts Japanese deterrence against China. https://www.ft.com/content/406bc3bb-068b-4f4c-b064-23082e8a9f70?shareType=nongift US warns Japan of severe delays in Tomahawk deliveries due to Iran war
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This is more relevant than any Vance speeches or National Security Strategies. This is Europe home alone. https://www.spiegel.de/politik/deutschland/nato-usa-wollen-militaerische-beitraege-fuer-europas-sicherheit-kuerzen-a-98cdf71e-c6c6-4c1d-bee7-180d4a6592a3?sara_ref=re-so-app-sh
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Fascinating This is non-representative, so let’s not read too much into this but still fascinating that a huge majority of SPIEGEL readers thinks that the US doing less for European defence is actually an opportunity not a risk. Main argument I read is about Europeans finally doing their own thing.
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My latest column for WPR on the US announcement from last week that the US is withdrawing substantial assets from NATO’s Force Model. https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-europe-trump-nato-force-model/
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With comments by yours truly https://www.spiegel.de/ausland/rumaenien-der-drohneneinschlag-zeigt-dass-die-nato-bei-der-abwehr-hinterhinkt-a-03179bc2-7500-43f8-ae44-39284211faa3?sara_ref=re-so-app-sh
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I wrote about the announced changes in the US’s contribution to NATO and how we have now really arrived in a post-American European security reality. https://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/us-europe-trump-nato-force-model/