2026-09-28 14:12 UTC
Many of the most reliable El Niño impacts are clustered around the tropical Pacific. Drought in Indonesia, the Philippines, the western Pacific islands have shown up in essentially every strong event since the 1950s, and this year’s models agree.
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@hausfath@fediscience.org 2026-09-28 14:12
We expect drought in northern South America, over the Amazon (with corresponding high fire risk), and in Northeastern Brazil. There will be heavy downpours and flooding in Peru and Ecuador, and wetter conditions in Central Chile.