2026-07-18 12:00 UTC
Greenhouse forcing:
"We find that the likelihood of the occurrence of climate regime shifts significantly increases in the context of super El Niño events due to their remarkable climate perturbations. This higher probability is detected across various climate elements, such as surface air temperature, sea surface temperature, and surface soil moisture. In addition, we suggest that this boost effect of super El Niño events on climate regime shifts will be greatly amplified under future greenhouse warming."
Xue, A., Geng, X., Jin, FF. et al. (2025). "Super El Niño events drive climate regime shifts with enhanced risks under global warming" https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-66143-7
#RatchetEffect #acceleration #ENSO #ElNiño #massExtinction #massExtinctions #climate #climateChange #globalHeating #globalWarming #climateBreakdown #climateHeating #research #study
Replies (1)
-
@maugendre@mas.to 2026-07-18 12:37
Jong-Seong Kug said that El Niño and climate change may be locked into a vicious climate cycle. The study findings suggest global heating amplifies the impacts associated with super El Niños, and “makes the climate system more prone to persistent shifts once those impacts are triggered.” “Super El Niño can shift the background climate conditions that people and ecosystems rely on.” By Bob Berwyn, in April 2026: https://insideclimatenews.org/news/25042026/el-nino-earth-warming/