Post #4379464
2026-08-04 15:51 UTC
btw this story is worth reading. Dalio's been consistently on target ahead of previous big corrections in the markets. n.b.:
"Acadian Asset Management's Owen Lamont has framed the clearest test of whether markets are truly in bubble territory around four conditions he calls the "Four Horsemen of the Bubble Apocalypse": extreme overvaluation, widespread "bubble beliefs" (investors who admit prices are too high but expect them to rise anyway), a surge in equity issuance, and a flood of new market participants.
Dalio's comments map almost precisely onto the third horseman. "There's almost nothing that's easier to produce than stock," he said, describing how a company can raise $50 million, get valued at a billion, and mint a paper billionaire without a billion dollars ever changing hands. He's identified surging stock issuance as one of the two primary forces that "prick" a bubble, alongside rising interest rates."
Replies (2)
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@briankrebs@infosec.exchange 2026-08-04 15:55
One final thing about this story: "Wealth is not the same as money," he said. "You see a lot of people getting wealthy but you can't spend the wealth. You have to sell the wealth to get money because you can only spend money." There is a ton of wisdom in this statement. The excellent (and IMHO required reading) book The Psychology of Money drives home one idea over and over: True wealth is what you don't see.
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@IzzyChambers@social.vivaldi.net 2026-08-04 15:59
@briankrebs@infosec.exchange Dalio has a horrible track record. He may be right here, but he’s a BS artist.