Post #4093291
2026-07-25 17:29 UTC
RE: https://fediscience.org/@MichaelEMann/116981550635871216
this part:
"El Niño is intrinsically a chaotic event in a climate system that doesn’t always respond in simple, proportional ways, Mann explained. Its greatest impacts come from its connections to the larger atmosphere, such as the trade winds and upper atmospheric winds, but those teleconnections can be hard to predict.
Small differences in conditions such as ocean temperatures or the trade winds can alter what happens later. For example, El Niño's ultimate impacts depend on factors such as where the maximum heating takes place in the equatorial Pacific in the fall and early winter.
Part of the uncertainty rests with the fact that the models are in "uncharted waters,” Hausfather wrote. The models have "never been verified in this territory.""
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