Post #4049660
2026-07-24 00:06 UTC
@marick@mstdn.social I guess I'd be quite surprised if the squishy sciences ignored "p-values" and the related mechanism, which I lumped into "uncertainty" here, though aware there are lots of closely related items, including variance, confidence levels, accuracy, precision, etc. Anything that makes repeated observations (counts, measurements, etc) or makes predictions, etc has to deal with this.
Another way I sometimes look at these models is that a model is asking/answering a question that either has been answered before, or this is the first time it's being asked. If it's not the first time being answered, then new results have to be compared to previous times it was answered and there should be a metric for assessing "better." ... If there isn't, then I'd say that the scientist isn't completing their job.
Though after reading your series, I'm also realizing there is a lot of jargon (e.g. induction) that I presume I know, but is clearly being used quite a bit differently by the community you are writing on...so it's likely we agree a lot more than it might seem.
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