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@Spoofer3@infosec.exchange

Post #4024538

2026-07-23 02:12 UTC

@marick@mstdn.social The successful scientists/engineers that I've observed focus a lot of their attention to the uncertainty part of their models. The uncertainty often has shape or relationships/sensitivities to the data that are often insightful, and also allow for determining when "good enough" is achieved. One scientist told me that the detail and length of the description of the problem is probably proportionate to the accuracy of the model. An enlightening exercise was looking through the references for NIST standards and understanding how they determine a constant (like a half-life). Often, they are great for everyday use, but maybe not so much beyond a certain precision and one might not have as much confidence in that constant after going through the experience. E.g. it might be the average of 5 master's thesises results and there might be quite a bit of variety in the rigor exercised.

Replies (1)

  • @marick@mstdn.social 2026-07-23 23:28

    @Spoofer3@infosec.exchange Seems sensible to me, though I’m not sure how to operationalize it. Judging from my small sample, the scientists working in the “squishy sciences” (biology, medicine) don’t fuss so much about uncertainty and the discovery of capital-L Laws of Nature. Uncertainty is the air they breathe and Laws are unacheivable. Maybe: living systems are about evading the long-term consequences of physical laws for long enough (thermodynamics), so studying scofflaws is a different kind of science.

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