Post #3625613

2026-05-11 23:39 UTC

Most recent #CDC dataset, updated late Friday, omits Nowcast for the most recent four-week period, "[d]ue to low numbers of sequences being reported to CDC", but does finally acknowledge spread of Cicada BA.3.2. Stratus-Eleventy XFG.1.1 continued to hold out in March-April reporting, as other Stratus lineages lost ground to three-pronged spread of Cicada, Nimbus NB.1.8.1 / PQ family, and seemingly-resurgent JN.1.11 + FLuQE, lead by the XFZ recombinant. Note that, in absence of robust data from states, CDC has given up modeling historical estimates, instead giving only shares of reported sequences. Raj's dashboard, updated end of March, showed XFG.1.1 at a quarter share, for the last half of the most recent reporting period, while Cicada grandkid RE.2 made a significant appearance. That said, said GISAID data was dominated by paltry submissions from New York (171), Minnesota (85), Maryland (84), Nebraska (53), and Arizona (17). ❖ #ThisIsOurPolio #variants #CovidIsNotOver #dataviz #datavis

Replies (1)

@beadsland@beige.party 2026-05-28 23:35

Data unavailable as it's drawn from health records, but this chart presents a comparable story to OP chart based on now eliminated (under the prior administration) public data collection. Sadly, the time horizon of these charts is even shorter than that of the Household Pulse Survey, ending in Q2 rather than Q3 of 2024. Source: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2849452?__cf_chl_tk=cxQLHVSNOwvgS4nbIIMHHD2UPVGOHsaFP4tKsx4SPqY-1780010092-1.0.1.1-uaQBk28cdMUKNtYFSORNVssW5hX2r0ryPk_gsC04rYg "The modest but statistically significant quarterly increases (IRR, 1.003-1.015) represent a 0.3% to 1.5% relative increase per quarter, compounded over a decade (40 quarters), and correspond to a 13% to 81% relative increase in cumulative PASC [i.e., Long Covid] prevalence, underscoring the substantial long-term burden if current trends persist. This pattern reflects ongoing accrual of incident cases from successive infection waves rather than a fixed cohort progressing toward resolution." HT https://bird.makeup/users/ahandvanish/statuses/2060029797284123029 #LongCovid #CovidIsNotOver

Open ##3625611