Post #3157952

@hannorein@mastodon.social I seem to recall some general paper on statistical models (the "AI" approach here) showing that this is essentially always going to happen due to the sparsity of data near the tails of the distribution. That paper suggested an over-estimation of rare event frequency though - it was trying to argue that models make the same trade-off as humans do re "1 in a million" events and their significance.