Post #2970065
2026-05-30 14:24 UTC
If they advertise themselves as a team of forecasters, but then pick a number that doesn’t line up with their forecasts because one team member has a gut feeling or vibes it should be sooner, then that is just another reason not to trust them and to treat them like the clowns they are. Of course, even that reading is pretty charitable, the real reason they picked 2027 is to balance urgency and hype generation with a bit of cushion for when the prediction doesn’t pan out.
Replies (1)
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@lurker@awful.systems 2026-05-30 19:02
real reason they picked 2027 is to balance urgency and hype generation with a bit of cushion for when the prediction doesn’t pan out. Bingo. They probably hyped up Kokotajlo as a forecaster BECAUSE he had it earlier than the rest of them, so their prediction could have credence to it