Post #2790336

Ah yes, 15,000 additional troops will surely secure a country that is the size of like [six US states combined](https://stevehely.com/2025/06/18/how-big-is-iran-compared-to-the-united-states/). And polymarket bets are only won by those with inside knowledge: > [Just 0.1% of users earn 67% of the profits on the largest platform Polymarket](https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/prediction-markets-gambling-polymarket-kalshi-b2970201.html) So I wouldn’t put any hope in whatever they are predicting, since apparently, most people are wrong. Also polymarket bets apply logic and do not account for Taco Tuesdays where logic is wholly absent and only [insiders](https://www.theguardian.com/society/ng-interactive/2026/jan/30/polymarket-prediction-markets-betting) will know what is going to happen a few hours in advance.