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@jordanlund@lemmy.world
Post #2790315
2026-05-04 16:39 UTC
35 Senate seats are up for election this year, Fetterman is not one of them. Currently the Senate is 53 Republican, 45 Democratic, 2 Independent.
I'd LOVE to see BOTH the House and Senate flip, but if you go race by race, most of these are super safe either D or R. These are state wide elections so gerrymandering does not apply.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_Senate_elections
Interim elections:
Florida - Ashley Moody Safe Republican (filling Marco Rubio's seat)
Ohio - Jon Husted Safe Republican (filling JD Vance's seat)
General elections:
Alabama - Tommy Tuberville Safe Republican
Alaska - Dan Sullivan Safe Republican
Arkansas - Tom Cotton Safe Republican
Idaho - Jim Risch Safe Republican
Iowa - Joni Ernst Safe Republican
Kansas - Roger Marshall Safe Republican
Kentucky - Mitch McConnell Safe Republican
Louisiana - Bill Cassidy Safe Republican
Mississippi - Cindy Hyde-Smith Safe Republican
Montana - Steve Daines Safe Republican
Nebraska - Pete Ricketts Safe Republican
North Carolina - Thom Tillis Safe Republican
Oklahoma - Alan S. Armstrong Safe Republican
South Carolina - Lindsey Graham Safe Republican
South Dakota - Mike Rounds Safe Republican
Tennesseee - Bill Hagerty Safe Republican
Texas - John Cornyn Safe Republican
West Virginia - Shelley Moore Capito Safe Republican
Wyoming - Cynthia Lummis Safe Republican
Colorado - Dan Hickenlooper Safe Democratic
Delaware - Chris Coons Safe Democratic
Illinois - Dick Durbin Safe Democratic
Massachusetts - Ed Markey Safe Democratic
Minnesota - Tina Smith Safe Democratic
New Hampshire - Jeanne Shaheen Safe Democratic
New Jersey - Corey Booker Safe Democratic
New Mexico - Ben Ray Luján Safe Democratic
Oregon - Jeff Merkley Safe Democratic
Rhode Island - Jack Reed Safe Democratic
Virginia - Mark Warner Safe Democratic
Georgia - Jon Ossoff - Likely Flip D->R
Maine - Susan Collins - Likely Flip R->D
Michigan - Gary Peters Democratic Toss Up
I'd love to see No Kings get out the vote and flip Alabama, Arkansas, Kentucky, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Texas.
That would flip the Senate from 53R:45D:2I to 51D:2I:47R. But realistically, looking at the voting history in those states? Aint never gonna happen.
Georgia and Maine flip 1:1, and the best case scenario is the Democrats hold Michigan and nothing changes: 53:45:2. Worst case? 54:44:2 and still nothing changes.
Replies (4)
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This isn't a normal cycle tho...
The "fight everywhere" plan is paying off huge, state parties are operating at campaign levels and have been for over a year.
"Knock on wood" and all that, but the next two midterms are gonna be blood bath, simply be cause some of these seats are seeing their first serious and well funded challenger in decades.
They're seats neoliberals handed to Republicans to prevent an actual majority of Dems and them having to do anything.
I'm usually right about this shit, we're gonna see record breaking turnouts and a blue wVe. Everyone will take the wrong lesson from this too.
The gains are because this is what happens when neoliberals don't have the reigns to the DNC, and that's all it's ever taken.
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DONT worry! I'm SURE ~~Protecting Pedophiles!~~ ~~Protecting Billionaires!~~ ~~Starting Multiple Wars!~~ ~~Making it IMPOSSIBLE to Afford to Live!~~ ~~Eliminating VA Benefits!~~ ~~Defunding our Troops!~~ ~~Killing American Citizens in the Street!~~ ~~Kidnapping Children at the Request of the Federal Government!~~ will Convince Republican voters to NOT vote Republican!
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If we fucking show up we can take Texas. Talarico is polling at or above the Republican candidates and they're still fighting it out while Talarico builds his base.
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Alabama voted in Doug Jones, likely a fluke that we won't be able to repeat, but there is a very thin sliver of hope.
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