Post #2064012

2026-04-25 22:32 UTC

@wim_v12e @csepp Arguably though: the prediction last year was 3.1C. The prediction this year is 2.8C. > Since the adoption of the Paris Agreement ten years ago, temperature predictions have fallen from 3-3.5°C So the prediction has gone down about as much in the last year as in the prior _decade_. The good news with solar generation rising steeply isn't "there's more of it", it's "it's rising exponentially, and every optimistic prediction has been met years early". i.e. the _second deriviative_ is more positive than expected, not just the _first_.

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@pixx@merveilles.town 2026-04-25 22:40

@wim_v12e @csepp Image from https://ember-energy.org/latest-updates/chinese-solar-exports-double-in-a-month-to-hit-record-high-amid-energy-crisis/ and looking at the numbers paints an even more remarkable story: > Exports to Africa rose by 176% > exports to Asia doubled to reach 39 GW > both new all time records > Countries with particularly rapid growth in Asia include India (+141%, +6.6 GW compared to February 2026), Malaysia (+384%, +1.8 GW) and Lao PDR (+108%, +2.3 GW). In Africa, Nigeria (+519%, +1.2 GW compared to February 2026), Kenya (+207%, +1.4 GW) and Ethiopia (+391%, +1.1 GW) all imported over 1 GW of solar PV technology for the first time ever in a single month, predominantly in the form of solar cells. The ongoing energy crisis is actually proving to be really, really good for the world, long term. I, for one, don't expect the world to be stable any time soon. Which means that the demand for more and more stability through energy independence and especially solar isn't going anywhere anytime soon.

Open ##2064013