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@cstross@wandering.shop

Post #1626191

2026-03-23 09:36 UTC

@CrypticMirror @rpluim @etchedpixels Probable reasons Iran hasn't nuked anyone: 1. A couple of A-bombs are not a strategic deterrent. 2. Without an SD backing it up, one nuke would invite massive retaliation—by Netanyahu (absolutely guaranteed), from Trump (highly likely). The main military effect of a single nuke today would be political disinhibition: the worst having happened, the next step is escalation. And Iran can't win that game.

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