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@varx@infosec.exchange

2026-02-12 23:20 UTC

@nolan@toot.cafe I'm not much into betting, but I wonder if you'd like to make a prediction. What do you think is the probability that six months from now, you would be able to prompt an LLM to create a program with the following constraints? - Complexity on the order of IndexedDB - Not reimplementing something that already exists (I have several reasons for this constraint) - Accordingly, not driven off of a pre-existing test suite - High enough quality that you would risk your family's privacy and security on it - Maintainable code (either by human or further LLMs) - Takes at most a workday for prompting + manual fixups - API costs of at most $500 Or, how far out do you think it would be before this seems 90% likely to work? (Feel free to quibble with any of my constraints. I chose those because that's what it would take to impress me.)

Replies (1)

  • @nolan@toot.cafe 2026-02-13 16:43

    @varx@infosec.exchange I think if you're not impressed by my IndexedDB example, or the C compiler or other browser examples, then you might not be impressed by an experiment with much more nebulous goals. 🙂 I propose we agree to disagree and check back in a year!

    Open ##2649404