Post #1362005
2026-04-04 01:58 UTC
While I tend to think Yudkowsky is sincere, some things like his prediction market for P(doom) are hard to square with that https://manifold.markets/EliezerYudkowsky/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-by-2030-r (launched June 2023, will resolve N/A on 1 January 2027 if the world has not ended yet. It has not moved much since 1 January 2024)
Replies (2)
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@samvines@awful.systems 2026-04-04 07:41
Does it still count if it turns out that Trump invading iran was based on Claude or ChatJippity advice and things escalate to global thermonuclear war? AI technically wiped out humanity because our dumb leaders were dumb enought to trust it?
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@lurker@awful.systems 2026-04-04 08:20
I will never understand why people seriously bet “yes” on these types of things. Like you either loose the bet and loose money or you win the bet and die