2026-05-08 12:57 UTC
So that’s part of the scientific question answered to my satisfaction at least: There’s pretty good evidence of some human to human spread of this virus.
Now the question is: Okay, but how likely is that to happen and under what circumstances? And that’s where it gets even less certain.
Replies (2)
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@kakape@mas.to 2026-05-08 12:59
The most basic answer is that human to human transmission appears pretty rare. Remember that in 30 years of history of this virus we only have a few good examples. Human-to-human transmission also seems to usually require close contact. So think spouses, intimate partners. (Yes, there are exceptions. There always are.) And patients were most likely to spread the virus just around the time they developed first symptoms, incl. just before.
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@pietkuip@mastodon.nl 2026-05-08 13:09
@kakape@mas.to Likelyhood seems quite high: five people at a birthday party in a short time (90 minutes). But this was when the source case was symptomatic.